Welcome to a brand new week traders! I did a full analysis of the latest CFTC COT Report for you and you can find it down below! I will be doing a lot of focusing on my trade plan this week and Forex testing my strategy. I encourage you to do the same. Practice makes a winning trader and that's pretty much about it. I recommend that any of you who are serious about learning Supply and Demand from someone I consider to be the best in the business, Alfonso Moreno, sign up at www.set-and-forget.com and join me and many others on our journey to learn how the market really moves. Take a look at my updated charts below for a sample of how we are killing it in the community! You can have it all if you trade like the institutions do. Money, freedom, the ability to travel anywhere at any time, nice homes and fast cars. All it takes is dedication and hard work! Don't you just love trading? You can be anywhere in the world and still be able to make $$$, but only if you trade alongside the institutions with Supply & Demand! The inspirational shots to the left are courtesy of @fiiyat on Instagram. Great profile you should follow! 
SUPPLY & DEMAND ZONES
Take note of the GREEN demand zones and RED supply zones mapped out below. These are the areas of interest for me because this is where there is a great deal of demand to fill buy orders and supply to fill sell orders from the institutions. SHADED GREEN ZONES = Strong Buy Zones
SHADED RED ZONES = Strong Sell Zones
Commitment Of Traders Report: Institutional traders are VERY LONG biased. Perception of Monetary Standing: HAWKISH
$USD OVERVIEW (DAILY)
Hey traders, hope your having a great weekend so far as we settle into the first few days of Fall! Starting to get a little crispy outside where I am in Ontario, Canada. This week was pretty decent in terms of price action, still seeing a lot of consolidation playing out but we had some data on Friday that got things to start moving a little more. This coming week we have a lot of data being released that should keep the momentum moving along and give us some great opportunities for trades. I think this will be the week we will see some price break outs from the trading ranges we have been stuck in. Now that September has come to and end, I also want to take a look at how this month looks from a bigger perspective. So let's take a look at the latest results from the report, and remember, the following data was the positions of the institutions leading into the Non-Farm figures released Friday!
US DOLLAR > COT REPORT: Institutional traders are LONG biased.
Perception of Monetary Standing: HAWKISH
Institutions: Increased their longs from 51k to 54k and reduced shorts from 10k to 8k. Long exposure increased from 83% to 86% in the process. Net positions increased as well from 40k to 45k net long positions. Seems the "BIG BOYS" were fully prepared from any volatility from Non Farm on Friday as they can be seen becoming even more bullish. Next weeks data will surely show their hand but it seems pretty obvious what's going on here! Overall for the month of September, we can see that the hedge funds have pretty much stayed the same in terms of their posistions, besides a small decrease in net long positions, everything else stayed the same.
Market Movers: 5 negative points of data vs. 2 good points. Non-farm was a big disappointment that probably got retail traders to sell short the dollar.
On the charts: as retail traders sold the dollar and allowed it to drop, it bounced right at some D Demand that caused the break of a descending TL (institutional buy orders), another bear trap using non farm negative data as the bait.
AUDUSD => COT REPORT: Institutional traders are SHORT biased.
Perception of Monetary Standing: NEUTRAL
Institutions: slightly decreased their longs and shorts this month and total exposure remained the same. Bias still short, but with less size then at the beginning of the month.
Market Movers: Some good data on Tuesday and Chinese data on Wednesday that was both godo and bad for the currency. Overall, nothing major for the AUD.
On the charts: Price hit a tested D WOW DZ and moved higher from it. Double bottom on the WK Chart. Rate statement out on Monday so the charts may be setting up here for a drop from an H4 SZ that price hit on Friday. I am currently short from this zone, testing out this scenario, so it is not following rules.
USDCAD => COT REPORT: Institutional traders are LONG biased.
Perception of Monetary Standing: NEUTRAL
Institutions: reduced longs and increased shorts, clearly throughout the month of September. Long exposure dropped from 74% to 68%. Net positions still bullish, but less so, with 55k reduced to 42k.
Market Movers: This week had some medium data released which was positive and helpful for the drop we saw from the D SZ.
On the charts: Price rallied into a D SZ that sits at the bottom wick of a WK CP SZ. All this price action take place within a 3MN SZ as well. Oil is gaining strength so it is possible we see a continued drop from these areas. Although a further push upwards into MN Supply @ 1.3566 seems very likely.
USDCHF => COT REPORT: Institutional traders are LONG biased.
Perception of Monetary Standing: DOVISH
Institutions: Increased longs from 13k to 15k during the month, but the big move was with the shorts from 5k to 13k increase. In so doing the long exposure went from 72% to 55%.
Market Movers: 2 points for negative data this past week.
On the charts: price rallied back up into WK Supply only to drop again and continue to consolidate.
EURUSD => COT REPORT: Institutional traders are SHORT biased.
Perception of Monetary Standing: VERY DOVISH
Institutions: have increased their short exposure this month, increasing from 66% to 71%. Total positions decreased but net positions increased from -67k to -87k. Strong short bias continues with the institutions this past month.
Market Movers: This week was riddled with negative data so although we saw the USD drop on Friday, the Euro rallied only to come back to it's senses and drop from test H4 SZ.
On the charts: this month price was very indecisive. We saw a rally toward WK Supply only to watch it drop back down again. WK DZ is lower so a drop into their for another rally is possible before we see a deeper, more lasting drop.
GBPUSD => COT REPORT: Institutional traders are SHORTbiased.
Perception of Monetary Standing: HAWKISH
Institutions: Mostly we see short covering during this month, short exposure reduced from 55% to 51% bringing on a more neutral tone for the Pound. Net positions also dropped from -11k to -2k.
Market Movers: Only 1 high impact data release which was Governor speech, the rest was mixed medium impact data.
On the charts: we had price rally up into a WK WOW SZ and then a drop right into tested WK Demand that how now been tested 3 times. Room to drop to the WK WOW DZ @ 1.49's if the demand breaks.
USDJPY => COT REPORT: Institutional traders are LONG biased.
Perception of Monetary Standing: VERY DOVISH
Institutions: Longs dropped from 83k to 61k with shorts dropping as well from 68k to 39k. Net long position increased from 15k to 22k in the process. Long exposure increased from 55% to 61% during this month. Total position size drop from 151k to 101k. Still very bullish.
Market Movers: This week was full of medium impact risk that was both good and bad.
On the charts: price consolidated and created a doji on the MN chart.
NZDUSD => COT REPORT: Institutional traders are SHORT biased.
Perception of Monetary Standing: DOVISH
Institutions: longs increased from 13k to 20k and shorts from 21k to 24k. Net position dropped from -8k to -3k. Still a bearish bias with the Kiwi.
Market Movers: 1 medium impact data released.
On the charts: price is reacting from a WK DZ located inside a MN CP DZ. Bias is still bearish with this pair so a rally into a WK SZ before a drop is most likely to happen.
So that's a wrap for this Septembers action traders! I had to remove charts for the GBP, JPY and NZD because of limitations on how many images can be uploaded per post. This coming week will be full of good data releases that will most likely cause a lot of movement from the pairs. Specifically look at the AUD and GBP rate data releases and of course the FOMC on Thursday. It's important to know when these releases will take place as to not find yourself opening a lower time frame position right before the news. I hope this weeks post was a helpful look back at this past month. Be prepared for the coming week traders and lets make some good trades.
Kevin
AUDUSD -> Commitmen Of Traders Report: Institutional traders
are LONG biased. Perception of Monetary Standing: NUETRAL
are LONG biased. Perception of Monetary Standing: NUETRAL
Notes:
THE SETUP: ->
Video Link ==>
https://gyazo.com/321531d744dd883e3fb4133608f596c3
$USDCAD -> Commitment Of Traders Report: Institutional traders
are SHORT biased. Perception of Monetary Standing: NUETRAL
Notes:
THE SETUP:
THE SETUP: ->
https://gyazo.com/321531d744dd883e3fb4133608f596c3
$USDCAD -> Commitment Of Traders Report: Institutional tradersare SHORT biased. Perception of Monetary Standing: NUETRAL
Notes:
$USDCHF -> Commitment Of Traders Report: Institutional traders are SHORT biased. Perception of Monetary Standing: DOVISH
Notes: Trend is up on the monthly, bullish consolidation on the weekly and down trend on the daily chart.
THE SETUP:
THE SETUP:
Notes:
THE SETUP:
Video Link ==>
THE SETUP:
Video Link ==>
Notes:
THE SETUP:
THE SETUP:
https://gyazo.com/e6462b808e0760e6142f501397fa9fda
$USDJPY -> Commitment Of Traders Report: Institutional traders are LONG biased. Perception of Monetary Standing: VERY DOVISHNotes:
THE SETUP:
Notes:
THE SETUP:
Video Link ==>
THE SETUP:
Video Link ==> 
https://gyazo.com/e9f272b57e10e0c405897182e8d39b43
Commitment Of Traders Report: Institutional traders are VERY LONG biased.
Notes:
THE SETUP:
https://gyazo.com/d61632b6308565e4ab3b990c2f9ea4cd
Commitment Of Traders Report: Institutional traders are LONG biased.
Notes:
THE SETUP:
https://gyazo.com/d1fd69a1e2d15b5155d61d121fe6a326
Commitment Of Traders Report: Institutional traders are LONG biased.
Notes:
THE SETUP:
Commitment Of Traders Report: Institutional traders are VERY LONG biased.
Notes:
THE SETUP:
Video Link ==>
Commitment Of Traders Report: Institutional traders are VERY SHORT biased.
Notes:
THE SETUP:
Video Link ==>
Notes: Trend is down on the monthly, down on the weekly and bearish consolidation on the daily chart.
*WK SZ and WK TL in control
*WK SZ and WK TL in control
THE SETUP: LONG @ 0.7365, SL @ 0.7306, TP - technical stop
Video Link ==>
May 18 (10:15pm) -> Trade Activated.
May 20 (9:30am) -> Trade Closed early for small loss.
Trade Review -> https://www.tradebench.com/share_trade/c09da628ffcf32f27aaae7ac4f6a29f1
May 18 (10:15pm) -> Trade Activated.
May 20 (9:30am) -> Trade Closed early for small loss.
Trade Review -> https://www.tradebench.com/share_trade/c09da628ffcf32f27aaae7ac4f6a29f1
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