Monday, June 29, 2015

***June 29 - July 3rd*** COT Report is out!!! *** PORTFOLIO HOLDINGS => EURCAD

General Notes:
Welcome to a brand new week traders! I did a full analysis of the latest CFTC COT Report for you and you can find it down below! I will be doing a lot of focusing on my trade plan this week and Forex testing my strategy. I encourage you to do the same. Practice makes a winning trader and that's pretty much about it. You can have it all if you trade like the institutions do. Money, freedom, the ability to travel anywhere at any time, nice homes and fast cars. All it takes is dedication and hard work!  Don't you just love trading? You can be anywhere in the world and still be able to make $$$, but only if you trade alongside the institutions with Supply & Demand! The inspirational shots to the left are courtesy of @fiiyat on Instagram. Great profile you should follow! 

Market Movers:

SUPPLY & DEMAND ZONES
Take note of the GREEN demand zones and RED supply zones mapped out below. These are the areas of interest for me because this is where there is a great deal of demand to fill buy orders and supply to fill sell orders from the institutions. 
SHADED GREEN ZONES = Strong Buy Zones
SHADED RED ZONES = Strong Sell Zones

$USD OVERVIEW (THE BIG PICTURE)
Commitment Of Traders Report: Institutional traders are VERY LONG biased. Perception of Monetary Standing: HAWKISH 
--> $USD is hitting weekly demand so might see a bounce up before a move back down.

$USD OVERVIEW (DAILY)
--> US Dollar hitting some daily/weekly demand and might see a bounce to the upside.







US DOLLAR => COT REPORT: Institutional traders are LONG biased.
Perception of Monetary Standing: HAWKISH
Notes: The hedge funds reduced both longs and shorts last week with a slight favour towards the short side.

AUDUSD => COT REPORT: Institutional traders are SHORT biased.
Perception of Monetary Standing: NUETRAL
Notes: Both positions have been reduced on this pair, bringing total exposure from 134k to 121k, bias is still to the short side.

USDCAD => COT REPORT: Institutional traders are LONG biased.
Perception of Monetary Standing: NUETRAL
Notes: Hedge funds added to their longs and reduced their shorts, slightly bullish.

USDCHF => COT REPORT: Institutional traders are SHORT biased.
Perception of Monetary Standing: DOVISH
Notes: This pairs only real changes came from the commercials again with another decrease in their short exposure from 4,096 contracts short to 590. Otherwise, bias is still to the short side.

EURUSD => COT REPORT: Institutional traders are SHORT biased.
Perception of Monetary Standing: VERY DOVISH
Notes: Shorts and longs were reduced this time by the Hedge Funds. Total exposure dropping down to 235.040 contracts. Shorts are still in favour with this report, increasing another 10k short from previous week.

GBPUSD => COT REPORT: Institutional traders are SHORT biased.
Perception of Monetary Standing: NUETRAL => HAWKISH
Notes: Positions are increasing on both the long and short side by the institutions.Still favouring the short side with net changes at 37k to the short side.

USDJPY => COT REPORT: Institutional traders are LONG biased.
Perception of Monetary Standing: VERY DOVISH
Notes: Positions being reduced on this pair as well from net positions of 210k to 165k this past week. Long side still being the bias.

NZDUSD => COT REPORT: Institutional traders are SHORT biased.
Perception of Monetary Standing: DOVISH
Notes: Not much happening here with the Kiwi. Short positions slightly increased and bias continues to be to the downside.

Overall, not much has changed from the previous report, I suspect once the Greek situation if sorted out we'll see more movement with the positions, but until then we should be careful with the Euro pairs until more certainty comes into the picture.

AUDUSD -> Commitmen Of Traders Report: Institutional traders
are LONG biased. Perception of Monetary Standing:  NUETRAL 
Notes: Trend is down on the monthly, bearish consolidation on the weekly and bullish consolidation on the daily chart. 
THE SETUP: -> 
Video Link ==>

$USDCAD -> Commitment Of Traders Report: Institutional traders
are SHORT biased. Perception of Monetary Standing: NUETRAL
Notes: Trend is up on the monthly, bullish consolidation on the weekly and bearish consolidation on the daily chart.
THE SETUP: 
Video Link ==> 

$USDCHF -> Commitment Of Traders Report: Institutional traders are SHORT biased. Perception of Monetary Standing: DOVISH
Notes: Trend is up on the monthly, bullish consolidation on the weekly and down trend on the daily chart. 
THE SETUP:
Video Link ==> 

$EURUSD -> Commitment Of Traders Report: Institutional traders are VERY SHORT biased. Perception of Monetary Standing: VERY DOVISH
Notes: Trend is down on the monthly, bearish consolidation on the weekly and bullish consolidation on the daily chart. 
THE SETUP: 
Video Link ==>

$GBPUSD -> Commitment Of Traders Report: Institutional traders are SHORT biased. Perception of Monetary Standing: NUETRAL
Notes: Trend is bearish consolidation on the monthly, up on the weekly and up on the daily chart. 
THE SETUP: 
Video Link ==> 

$USDJPY -> Commitment Of Traders Report: Institutional traders are LONG biased. Perception of Monetary Standing: VERY DOVISH
Notes: Trend is up on the monthly, bullish consolidation on the weekly and bullish consolidation on the daily chart.
THE SETUP: 
Video Link ==> 

$NZDUSD -> Commitment Of Traders Report: Institutional traders are SHORT biased. Perception of Monetary Standing: DOVISH 
Notes: Trend is down on the monthly, down on the weekly and bearish consolidation on the daily chart.
THE SETUP: 
Video Link ==> 


$GBPNZD ->
Notes: Trend is up on all time frames so looking for a pull-back into either 240 or daily demand. I prefer the daily demand zone.
THE SETUP (May 12): LONG @ 2.0677, SL @ 2.0500, TP - technical stop
   Video Link ==> 



Commitment Of Traders Report: Institutional traders are VERY LONG biased.
Notes: Trend is down on the monthly, bullish consolidation on the weekly and bearish consolidation on the daily chart. Called the bounce @ 1170 to a tee. RSI on the MN and WK chart suggest more upside towards the 1280's.
THE SETUP: 
Video Link ==> 


Commitment Of Traders Report: Institutional traders are LONG biased.
Notes: Trend is down on the monthly, bullish consolidation on the weekly and up on the daily chart. Daily WOW playing out with upside towards 19's, but first the reaction from WK supply.
THE SETUP: 
Video Link ==> 

Commitment Of Traders Report: Institutional traders are LONG biased.
Notes: Trend is down on the monthly, bearish consolidation on the weekly and up on the daily chart. A little more push up it seems until hitting MN supply and descending TL so expecting more downside from there.
THE SETUP: 
Video Link ==> 

Commitment Of Traders Report: Institutional traders are VERY LONG biased.
Notes: Trend is down on the monthly, up on the weekly and up on the daily chart. WK chart hitting a flip zone so may drop to the 56's, if not head up towards the 66's.
THE SETUP: 
Video Link ==> 

Commitment Of Traders Report: Institutional traders are VERY SHORT biased.
Notes: Trend is down on the monthly, bearish consolidation on the weekly and up on the daily chart. MN descending TL about to be hit while WK supply being tested a second time with D supply up ahead.
THE SETUP: 
Video Link ==> 


$NZDUSD -> Commitment Of Traders Report: Institutional traders are LONG biased. Perception of Monetary Standing: DOVISH 
Notes: Trend is down on the monthly, down on the weekly and bearish consolidation on the daily chart.
*WK SZ and WK TL in control
THE SETUP: LONG @ 0.7365, SL @ 0.7306, TP - technical stop
Video Link ==> 
May 18 (10:15pm) -> Trade Activated.
May 20 (9:30am) -> Trade Closed early for small loss.
Trade Review -> https://www.tradebench.com/share_trade/c09da628ffcf32f27aaae7ac4f6a29f1