Sunday, November 30, 2014

***Monday Dec 1rst*** #GBP #AUD & #USD Data out! CFTC COT Report is here! *** PORTFOLIO HOLDINGS => *** (check out the lessons at the bottom)


General Notes:
I've added video lesson at the bottom of the Portfolio Blog. So do yourself a favour and start watching and learn as much as you can! You can have it all if you trade like the institutions do. Money, freedom, the ability to travel anywhere at any time, nice homes and fast cars. All it takes is dedication and hard work!  Don't you just love trading? You can be anywhere in the world and still be able to make $$$, but only if you trade alongside the institutions with Supply & Demand! If so you can be chillin somewhere down south where it's warm as opposed to some of us in the cold of winter. Planning a trip to Florida after Christmas with the family and the laptop is coming with me! The BOE meeting minutes contrasted the Inflation Report and therefore created a less Dovish sentiment for the $GBPUSD. As I have mentioned before, what a coincidence that this happened. Price hit weekly demand and all of a sudden the Pound is less Dovish. I showed you articles being written about why the Pound is about to fall and instead we made money on the long side. Supply & Demand is the bottom line! Ignore the rest. Congrats to those who are profiting with me. Blue Skies up ahead! Also I have added a cross pair setup below and going forward will be posting any good cross pair setups I find. 



Market Movers December 1 - 5th:
Click here for the Week Ahead -> Dec 1 - 5, 2014 Market Movers

The Magic Trading Portfolio's Position Sizing:
Currencies --> Risking only $125 per trade. As my risk tolerance gets larger, I will slowly start increasing my risk amount. 

You can follow, learn & PROFIT from The Magic Portfolio by following the members only @MagicAlerts on TwitterI'll be sharing my thoughts on the markets, providing video lessons on trading Supply & Demand and also be sharing with followers some very exclusive stuff. You'll have to follow to find out what. I am mapping out Institutional Demand & Supply. Do your own DD and use the info whatever way you see fit. Welcome to The Magic Trading Portfolio!

How to keep updated with the blog? tweet updates to The Magic Trading Portfolio all day live, my advice is if you have an iphone etc, turn notifications on for my account @magikev to get the updates to the portfolio. If you missed an update, just come to the blog and check on the right side where the twitter feed is located and go through the feed to see what updates you may have missed. Otherwise, subscribe to the email updates and receive them in your inbox.

Magic Ingredient:
If there is any one thing that has added more to my success than anything else, it is understanding how
important it is to time the market with your trades. The key to my strategy is to time the $USD's GREEN and RED zones with the GREEN and RED zones from the setups. If the US Dollar and the $USDCAD, $USDCHF or $USDJPY are both entering their same coloured zones at around the same time or if the US Dollar and the $EURUSD, $GBPUSD, $AUDUSD or $NZDUSD are both entering the opposite coloured zones then the probability of the setup working out is highest. 
SHADED GREEN ZONES = Strong Buy Zones
SHADED RED ZONES = Strong Sell Zones

Markets Overview (The Big Picture):
Take note of the GREEN demand zones and RED supply zones mapped out below. These are the areas of interest for me because this is where there is a great deal of demand to fill buy orders and supply to fill sell orders from the institutions. 
$USD Overview (Weekly Chart)
Perception of Monetary Standing: HAWKISH 
--> $USD looks to want to break through this weekly supply zone which it could very well do since this supply was not an authentic zone. The zone above is authentic.

$USD Overview (Daily Chart)
--> Some nice supply just above this daily supply zone we are heading up through.



The Million Dollar Strategy:
Chart Setup --> Chart has an RSI indicator of 60 overbought and 40 oversold.
Buying or Selling when price enters a 240 minute area of demand/supply outlined by the green zone/red zone. First target will be opposing 240 min supply zone/demand zone and the opposing daily or weekly supply zone/demand zone.



$USDCAD -> Commitment Of Traders Report: Institutional traders are LONG biased. (11/25/14)
Decreased <== LONG -> 48k   SHORT -> 32K ==> Same
Perception of Monetary Standing: DOVISH
Notes: Price is hit some daily demand and is no heading back upwards toward weekly supply.
THE SETUP ==> 
Video Link ==> 

$AUDUSD -> Commitment Of Traders Report: Institutional traders are VERY SHORT biased. (11/25/14)
Increased <== LONG -> 12k   SHORT -> 56K ==> Increased
Perception of Monetary Standing: DOVISH
Notes: Price is slowly making it's way toward daily demand @ 0.8415
THE SETUP ==> 
Video Link ==>

$USDCHF -> Commitment Of Traders Report: Institutional traders are LONG biased. (11/25/14)
Same <== LONG -> 31k   SHORT -> 8K ==> Decreased
Perception of Monetary Standing: NUETRAL
Notes: Price is consolidating up at the highs. Waiting for a direction to go.
THE SETUP ==>
Video Link ==> 

$EURUSD -> Commitment Of Traders Report: Institutional traders are VERY SHORT biased. (11/25/14)
Decreased <== LONG -> 57k   SHORT -> 223K ==> Decreased
Perception of Monetary Standing: DOVISH
Notes: Price hit weekly demand at 1.24's and now we could start seeing a move to the upside.
THE SETUP ==> 
Video Link ==>

$GBPUSD -> Commitment Of Traders Report: Institutional traders are SHORT biased. (11/25/14)
Decreased <== LONG -> 38k   SHORT -> 69K ==> Increased
Perception of Monetary Standing: HAWKISH 
Notes: The pound has just breached the Monthly demand zone but hit weekly demand. I believe we will see a bounce from here.
THE SETUP ==> 
Video Link ==> 

$USDJPY -> Commitment Of Traders Report: Institutional traders are VERY LONG biased. (11/25/14)
             Increased <== LONG -> 150k   SHORT -> 46K ==> Same
Perception of Monetary Standing: DOVISH
Notes: Hit some weekly supply and I am expecting some downwards movement.
THE SETUP ==> 
Video Link ==>

$NZDUSD -> Commitment Of Traders Report: Institutional traders are SHORT biased. (11/25/14)
Same <== LONG -> 9k   SHORT -> 11K ==> Increased
Perception of Monetary Standing: HAWKISH
Notes: Price is consolidating around weekly demand. Also just hit some daily demand so we may see more upside.
THE SETUP ==> 
Video Link ==> 



The 30 Minute Chart Strategy:
Chart Setup --> Chart has an 89 period EMA and an 8 period EMA, RSI indicator of 60 overbought and 40 oversold.
Buying or Selling when price enters a 30 minute area of demand/supply outlined by the green zone/red zone. First target will be opposing 30 min supply zone/demand zone.

The 240 Minute Chart Strategy: Buying or Selling when price enters a 240 minute area of demand/supply outlined by the green zone/red zone. First target will be opposing 240 min supply zone/demand zone.

Institutional Supply & Demand Outlook.

Institutional Supply & Demand Outlook.

Institutional Supply & Demand Outlook.

Institutional Supply & Demand Outlook.


Month of November 1rst - 28th (Based on $125 Risk Per Trade)
$GBPNZD -> 
THE SETUP ==> Long @ 2.0015, SL @ 1.9931, T1 - 2.0227, T2 - 2.0351
Video Link ==> Trade Setup
Nov 28 -> Trade close, stop hit.
Trade Review ==> Click 2 Review

$EURAUD -> 
THE SETUP ==> short @ 1.4530, SL @ 1.4564, T1 - 1.4450, T2 - 1.4279

$GBPAUD -> 
THE SETUP ==> Short 2 1.8302, SL @ 1.8365, T1 - 1.8193, T2 - 1.8037

$AUDNZD -> 
THE SETUP ==> Long @ 1.0961, SL @ 1.0930, T1 - 1.1002, T2 - 1.1037
Nov 19 -> Trade Activated
Nov 21 -> T1 hit, moved stop to 1.0940
$GBPUSD -> Commitment Of Traders Report: Institutional traders are SHORT biased. (11/11/14)
Decreased <== LONG -> 40k   SHORT -> 53K ==> Increased
Perception of Monetary Standing: HAWKISH ==> NUETRAL
Notes: The pound has just breached the Monthly demand zone but hit weekly demand. I believe we will see a bounce from here.
THE SETUP ==> Long @ 1.5626, SL @ 1.5560, T1 - 1.5692, T2 - 1.5823
Video Link ==> 
Nov 14 -> Trade Activated.
Nov 14 -> T1 Hit
Nov 16 -> Added to my position @ 1.5640 (new targets & stop outlined below)
Nov 21 -> Trade closed for profits @ 1.56485
Trade Review ==> Click 2 Review

$AUDUSD -> Commitment Of Traders Report: Institutional traders are VERY SHORT biased. (11/11/14)
Increased <== LONG -> 12k   SHORT -> 50K ==> Decreased
Perception of Monetary Standing: DOVISH
Notes: The Aussie hit weekly demand that is not authentic but fresh so this level should not hold. Now consolidating sideways and then should drop and break through the weekly demand zone area and head to at least daily demand at 0.84000.
THE SETUP ==> Short @ 0.8790, SL @ 0.8811, T1 - 0.8707, T2 - 0.8635 
Video Link ==> THE SETUP
Nov 17 -> Trade Activated.
Nov 17 -> 1rst target moved to 0.8731 (may get a bounce from here)
Nov 17 -> target 1 hit over night.
Nov 17 -> closed trade for profits @ 0.87195
Trade Review -> Click 2 Review

$NZDUSD -> Commitment Of Traders Report: Institutional traders are SHORT biased. (11/04/14)
Increased <== LONG -> 9k   SHORT -> 13K ==> Increased
Perception of Monetary Standing: HAWKISH
Notes: Price is consolidating around weekly demand. Also just hit some daily demand so we may see more upside.
THE SETUP ==> Long @ 0.7875, SL @ 0.7859, T1 - 0.7911, T2 - 0.7951
Video Link ==> THE SETUP & Trade Review
Nov 12 -> Trade Activated.
Nov 12 -> 10pm Trade Closed - stop hit

$GBPUSD -> Commitment Of Traders Report: Institutional traders are SHORT biased. (11/04/14)
Increased <== LONG -> 43k   SHORT -> 50K ==> Increased
Perception of Monetary Standing: HAWKISH 
Notes: The pound has just breached the Monthly demand zone but is falling into daily/240 demand. I think we will see a bounce from here.
THE SETUP ==> Long @ 1.5741, SL @ 1.5711, T1 - 1.5767, T2 - 1.5808
Video Link ==> Trade Review
Nov 13 -> stopped out
Trade Review -> Click 2 Review

$GBPUSD -> Commitment Of Traders Report: Institutional traders are SHORT biased. (11/04/14)
Increased <== LONG -> 43k   SHORT -> 50K ==> Increased
Perception of Monetary Standing: HAWKISH 
Notes: The pound has just breached the Monthly demand zone but is falling into daily/240 demand. I think we will see a bounce from here.
THE SETUP ==> Long @ 1.5819, SL @ 1.5769, T1 - 1.5961
Video Link ==>
Nov 7 -> Trade Activated
Nov 10 -> Trade Closed 
Trade Review -> Click 2 Review


$USDJPY -> Commitment Of Traders Report: Institutional traders are VERY LONG biased. (11/04/14)
             Decreased <== LONG -> 109k   SHORT -> 39K ==> Decreased
Perception of Monetary Standing: DOVISH
Notes: Hit some weekly supply and dropped and hit daily/weekly demandnow price is heading back up but right into weekly supply at 109.01 - 110.08. RSI will show negative divergence when price gets up there so we could see more downside towards weekly demand at 104.46. Institutions took profits on their long position at the 110.000 area as per COT Report.
THE SETUP ==> Short @ 114.89, SL @ 115.02, T1 - 113.70, T2 - 112.89
Video Link ==> THE SETUP & Trade Review
Nov 10 -> Trade Activated
Nov 10 -> 11:35pm Stop Hit.
Trade Review -> Click 2 Review


Institutional SUPPLY & DEMAND with Sam Seiden (November 21, 2014)

Great video to watch -> Will help you in your trading psychology!