Monday, June 8, 2015

***June 8 - 12*** COT Report is out!!! *** PORTFOLIO HOLDINGS =>


General Notes:
Welcome to a brand new week traders! I did a full analysis of the latest CFTC COT Report for you and you can find it down below! I will be doing a lot of focusing on my trade plan this week and Forex testing my strategy. I encourage you to do the same. Practice makes a winning trader and that's pretty much about it. You can have it all if you trade like the institutions do. Money, freedom, the ability to travel anywhere at any time, nice homes and fast cars. All it takes is dedication and hard work!  Don't you just love trading? You can be anywhere in the world and still be able to make $$$, but only if you trade alongside the institutions with Supply & Demand! The inspirational shots to the left are courtesy of @fiiyat on Instagram. Great profile you should follow! 

Market Movers:

SUPPLY & DEMAND ZONES
Take note of the GREEN demand zones and RED supply zones mapped out below. These are the areas of interest for me because this is where there is a great deal of demand to fill buy orders and supply to fill sell orders from the institutions. 
SHADED GREEN ZONES = Strong Buy Zones
SHADED RED ZONES = Strong Sell Zones

$USD OVERVIEW (THE BIG PICTURE)
Commitment Of Traders Report: Institutional traders are VERY LONG biased. Perception of Monetary Standing: HAWKISH 
--> $USD is hitting weekly demand so might see a bounce up before a move back down.

$USD OVERVIEW (DAILY)
--> US Dollar hitting some daily/weekly demand and might see a bounce to the upside.







US DOLLAR => COT REPORT: Institutional traders are VERY LONG biased.
Perception of Monetary Standing: HAWKISH
Notes: The big boys increased their stakes from 80% bullish to 85% bullish this week. The net difference between the Non-Commercial and Commercials are up by 14,714 contracts as well, so we could have possibly experience some profit taking before a continuation of the longer term trend.

AUDUSD => COT REPORT: Institutional traders are SHORT biased.
Perception of Monetary Standing: NUETRAL
Notes: Bias is to the short side here as the hedge funds increased their short positions from 58k the previous week to 76k this week.

USDCAD => COT REPORT: Institutional traders are LONG biased.
Perception of Monetary Standing: NUETRAL
Notes: Both players turning bullish this pair from bearish the previous week. After some heavy selling from the MN and WK supply areas and turning bearish, they turned the heat back on and the fire is thrusting this pair bullish. Slight bullish bias at this point, so could be just profit taking. Next weeks data will make things a little clearer.

USDCHF => COT REPORT: Institutional traders are SHORT biased.
Perception of Monetary Standing: DOVISH
Notes: The Swiss Franc still sitting at slightly short biased but not a big change in the figures.

EURUSD => COT REPORT: Institutional traders are VERY SHORT biased.
Perception of Monetary Standing: VERY DOVISH
Notes: The Euro remains bearish at this point, the net difference between previous week and this week was a slight bullishness of 7,535 contracts, the reason for this was primarily an increase in long positions from the hedge funds (WK demand zone hit).

GBPUSD => COT REPORT: Institutional traders are SHORT biased.
Perception of Monetary Standing: NUETRAL
Notes: I mixed up the data from last week, which showed the institutions as bullish the Pound when in fact they were bearish, my apologies. 64% of the hedge funds positions are short the Pound, with only a slight increase in bias to the short side.

USDJPY => COT REPORT: Institutional traders are LONG biased.
Perception of Monetary Standing: VERY DOVISH
Notes: The big boys increased their long positions on the Yen from 69% to 74% and a net difference of 46,357 contracts to the long side. We saw the up trend continue without a doubt.

NZDUSD => COT REPORT: Institutional traders are SHORT biased.
Perception of Monetary Standing: DOVISH
Notes: We are also seeing an increase of short positions by the institutions. Short positions went from 15k short previous week to 19k short this week.

AUDUSD -> Commitmen Of Traders Report: Institutional traders
are LONG biased. Perception of Monetary Standing:  NUETRAL 
Notes: Trend is down on the monthly, bearish consolidation on the weekly and bullish consolidation on the daily chart. 
THE SETUP: -> 
Video Link ==>

$USDCAD -> Commitment Of Traders Report: Institutional traders
are SHORT biased. Perception of Monetary Standing: NUETRAL
Notes: Trend is up on the monthly, bullish consolidation on the weekly and bearish consolidation on the daily chart.
THE SETUP: 
Video Link ==> 

$USDCHF -> Commitment Of Traders Report: Institutional traders are SHORT biased. Perception of Monetary Standing: DOVISH
Notes: Trend is up on the monthly, bullish consolidation on the weekly and down trend on the daily chart. 
THE SETUP:
Video Link ==> 

$EURUSD -> Commitment Of Traders Report: Institutional traders are VERY SHORT biased. Perception of Monetary Standing: VERY DOVISH
Notes: Trend is down on the monthly, bearish consolidation on the weekly and bullish consolidation on the daily chart. 
THE SETUP: 
Video Link ==>

$GBPUSD -> Commitment Of Traders Report: Institutional traders are SHORT biased. Perception of Monetary Standing: NUETRAL
Notes: Trend is bearish consolidation on the monthly, up on the weekly and up on the daily chart. 
THE SETUP: 
Video Link ==> 

$USDJPY -> Commitment Of Traders Report: Institutional traders are LONG biased. Perception of Monetary Standing: VERY DOVISH
Notes: Trend is up on the monthly, bullish consolidation on the weekly and bullish consolidation on the daily chart.
THE SETUP: 
Video Link ==> 

$NZDUSD -> Commitment Of Traders Report: Institutional traders are SHORT biased. Perception of Monetary Standing: DOVISH 
Notes: Trend is down on the monthly, down on the weekly and bearish consolidation on the daily chart.
THE SETUP: 
Video Link ==> 


$GBPNZD ->
Notes: Trend is up on all time frames so looking for a pull-back into either 240 or daily demand. I prefer the daily demand zone.
THE SETUP (May 12): LONG @ 2.0677, SL @ 2.0500, TP - technical stop
   Video Link ==> 



Commitment Of Traders Report: Institutional traders are VERY LONG biased.
Notes: Trend is down on the monthly, bullish consolidation on the weekly and bearish consolidation on the daily chart. Called the bounce @ 1170 to a tee. RSI on the MN and WK chart suggest more upside towards the 1280's.
THE SETUP: 
Video Link ==> 


Commitment Of Traders Report: Institutional traders are LONG biased.
Notes: Trend is down on the monthly, bullish consolidation on the weekly and up on the daily chart. Daily WOW playing out with upside towards 19's, but first the reaction from WK supply.
THE SETUP: 
Video Link ==> 

Commitment Of Traders Report: Institutional traders are LONG biased.
Notes: Trend is down on the monthly, bearish consolidation on the weekly and up on the daily chart. A little more push up it seems until hitting MN supply and descending TL so expecting more downside from there.
THE SETUP: 
Video Link ==> 

Commitment Of Traders Report: Institutional traders are VERY LONG biased.
Notes: Trend is down on the monthly, up on the weekly and up on the daily chart. WK chart hitting a flip zone so may drop to the 56's, if not head up towards the 66's.
THE SETUP: 
Video Link ==> 

Commitment Of Traders Report: Institutional traders are VERY SHORT biased.
Notes: Trend is down on the monthly, bearish consolidation on the weekly and up on the daily chart. MN descending TL about to be hit while WK supply being tested a second time with D supply up ahead.
THE SETUP: 
Video Link ==> 


$NZDUSD -> Commitment Of Traders Report: Institutional traders are LONG biased. Perception of Monetary Standing: DOVISH 
Notes: Trend is down on the monthly, down on the weekly and bearish consolidation on the daily chart.
*WK SZ and WK TL in control
THE SETUP: LONG @ 0.7365, SL @ 0.7306, TP - technical stop
Video Link ==> 
May 18 (10:15pm) -> Trade Activated.
May 20 (9:30am) -> Trade Closed early for small loss.
Trade Review -> https://www.tradebench.com/share_trade/c09da628ffcf32f27aaae7ac4f6a29f1

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