Thursday, July 9, 2015

***July 10*** Greek crisis is ending? *** PORTFOLIO HOLDINGS =>

General Notes:
Welcome to a brand new week traders! I did a full analysis of the latest CFTC COT Report for you and you can find it down below! I will be doing a lot of focusing on my trade plan this week and Forex testing my strategy. I encourage you to do the same. Practice makes a winning trader and that's pretty much about it. You can have it all if you trade like the institutions do. Money, freedom, the ability to travel anywhere at any time, nice homes and fast cars. All it takes is dedication and hard work!  Don't you just love trading? You can be anywhere in the world and still be able to make $$$, but only if you trade alongside the institutions with Supply & Demand! The inspirational shots to the left are courtesy of @fiiyat on Instagram. Great profile you should follow! 

Market Movers:

SUPPLY & DEMAND ZONES
Take note of the GREEN demand zones and RED supply zones mapped out below. These are the areas of interest for me because this is where there is a great deal of demand to fill buy orders and supply to fill sell orders from the institutions. 
SHADED GREEN ZONES = Strong Buy Zones
SHADED RED ZONES = Strong Sell Zones

$USD OVERVIEW (THE BIG PICTURE)
Commitment Of Traders Report: Institutional traders are VERY LONG biased. Perception of Monetary Standing: HAWKISH 



$USD OVERVIEW (DAILY)








US DOLLAR => COT REPORT: Institutional traders are LONG biased.
Perception of Monetary Standing: HAWKISH
Notes: The hedge funds again reduced both longs and shorts last week with a slight favour towards the short side. One interesting point to mention, is that they continue to favour the upside with 88% of their positions being held for long contracts.

AUDUSD => COT REPORT: Institutional traders are SHORT biased.
Perception of Monetary Standing: NUETRAL
Notes: Both non-commercial and commercials have a net change of -7,247 favouring a bearish move in the Aussie last week. The commercials are holding 71% of their positions to the long side hedging against a move to the downside. So needless to say the bearish bias continues.

USDCAD => COT REPORT: Institutional traders are LONG biased.
Perception of Monetary Standing: NUETRAL
Notes: Hedge funds added to their longs and shorts last week with the moves biased towards the bullish side with net positions of 23k to the long side.

USDCHF => COT REPORT: Institutional traders are SHORT biased.
Perception of Monetary Standing: DOVISH
Notes: Bias is still to the down side with this pair. Slight move favouring the downside with net changes of -5k.

EURUSD => COT REPORT: Institutional traders are SHORT biased.
Perception of Monetary Standing: VERY DOVISH
Notes: Very minimal moves regarding the Euro during this crisis, but one thing important enough to mention was that the previous week, the net difference was a -18k and last week was -3.5k so less bearish of a move but still overall consensus is a bearish bias.

GBPUSD => COT REPORT: Institutional traders are SHORT biased.
Perception of Monetary Standing: NUETRAL => HAWKISH
Notes: Longs increased and shorts decreased last week on the Pound. Short positions reduced from 59% exposure to 55% with this move from the hedge funds. Net change for both group totalled 17k favouring the bulls.

USDJPY => COT REPORT: Institutional traders are LONG biased.
Perception of Monetary Standing: VERY DOVISH
Notes: Some profit taking on the Yen took place again last week, with net changes totalling -26k. We saw this on the charts as price hit tested WK Supply and has pulled back since.

NZDUSD => COT REPORT: Institutional traders are SHORT biased.
Perception of Monetary Standing: DOVISH
Notes: Long positions were reduced last week by the hedge funds from 19k to 16k and commercials now with a 90% exposure of their kiwi positions favouring the downside. Overall bias at this point still favours the Bears.

AUDUSD -> Commitmen Of Traders Report: Institutional traders
are LONG biased. Perception of Monetary Standing:  NUETRAL 
Notes: Trend is down on the monthly, bearish consolidation on the weekly and bullish consolidation on the daily chart. 
THE SETUP: -> 
Video Link ==>

$USDCAD -> Commitment Of Traders Report: Institutional traders
are SHORT biased. Perception of Monetary Standing: NUETRAL
Notes: Trend is up on the monthly, bullish consolidation on the weekly and bearish consolidation on the daily chart.
THE SETUP: 
Video Link ==> 

$USDCHF -> Commitment Of Traders Report: Institutional traders are SHORT biased. Perception of Monetary Standing: DOVISH
Notes: Trend is up on the monthly, bullish consolidation on the weekly and down trend on the daily chart. 
THE SETUP:
Video Link ==> 

$EURUSD -> Commitment Of Traders Report: Institutional traders are VERY SHORT biased. Perception of Monetary Standing: VERY DOVISH
Notes: Trend is down on the monthly, bearish consolidation on the weekly and bullish consolidation on the daily chart. 
THE SETUP: 
Video Link ==>

$GBPUSD -> Commitment Of Traders Report: Institutional traders are SHORT biased. Perception of Monetary Standing: NUETRAL
Notes: Trend is bearish consolidation on the monthly, up on the weekly and up on the daily chart. 
THE SETUP: 
Video Link ==> 

$USDJPY -> Commitment Of Traders Report: Institutional traders are LONG biased. Perception of Monetary Standing: VERY DOVISH
Notes: Trend is up on the monthly, bullish consolidation on the weekly and bullish consolidation on the daily chart.
THE SETUP: 
Video Link ==> 

$NZDUSD -> Commitment Of Traders Report: Institutional traders are SHORT biased. Perception of Monetary Standing: DOVISH 
Notes: Trend is down on the monthly, down on the weekly and bearish consolidation on the daily chart.
THE SETUP: 
Video Link ==> 


$GBPNZD ->
Notes: Trend is up on all time frames so looking for a pull-back into either 240 or daily demand. I prefer the daily demand zone.
THE SETUP (May 12): LONG @ 2.0677, SL @ 2.0500, TP - technical stop
   Video Link ==> 



Commitment Of Traders Report: Institutional traders are VERY LONG biased.
Notes: Trend is down on the monthly, bullish consolidation on the weekly and bearish consolidation on the daily chart. Called the bounce @ 1170 to a tee. RSI on the MN and WK chart suggest more upside towards the 1280's.
THE SETUP: 
Video Link ==> 


Commitment Of Traders Report: Institutional traders are LONG biased.
Notes: Trend is down on the monthly, bullish consolidation on the weekly and up on the daily chart. Daily WOW playing out with upside towards 19's, but first the reaction from WK supply.
THE SETUP: 
Video Link ==> 

Commitment Of Traders Report: Institutional traders are LONG biased.
Notes: Trend is down on the monthly, bearish consolidation on the weekly and up on the daily chart. A little more push up it seems until hitting MN supply and descending TL so expecting more downside from there.
THE SETUP: 
Video Link ==> 

Commitment Of Traders Report: Institutional traders are VERY LONG biased.
Notes: Trend is down on the monthly, up on the weekly and up on the daily chart. WK chart hitting a flip zone so may drop to the 56's, if not head up towards the 66's.
THE SETUP: 
Video Link ==> 

Commitment Of Traders Report: Institutional traders are VERY SHORT biased.
Notes: Trend is down on the monthly, bearish consolidation on the weekly and up on the daily chart. MN descending TL about to be hit while WK supply being tested a second time with D supply up ahead.
THE SETUP: 
Video Link ==> 


$NZDUSD -> Commitment Of Traders Report: Institutional traders are LONG biased. Perception of Monetary Standing: DOVISH 
Notes: Trend is down on the monthly, down on the weekly and bearish consolidation on the daily chart.
*WK SZ and WK TL in control
THE SETUP: LONG @ 0.7365, SL @ 0.7306, TP - technical stop
Video Link ==> 
May 18 (10:15pm) -> Trade Activated.
May 20 (9:30am) -> Trade Closed early for small loss.
Trade Review -> https://www.tradebench.com/share_trade/c09da628ffcf32f27aaae7ac4f6a29f1

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