Saturday, December 6, 2014

***Saturday Dec 6th*** CFTC Cot Report here!!! *** PORTFOLIO HOLDINGS => #AUDCAD #GBPCHF ***


General Notes:
The CFTC COT Report is out and it looks like the institutions are cutting back on their short positions on the $EURUSD and have added a bit more to their long positions on the $USDJPY. Things are indeed getting interesting with the $USD coming into some major supply and the $EURUSD coming into some major demand, you can find the breakdown below. I've added video lessons at the bottom of the Portfolio Blog. So do yourself a favour and start watching and learn as much as you can! You can have it all if you trade like the institutions do. Money, freedom, the ability to travel anywhere at any time, nice homes and fast cars. All it takes is dedication and hard work!  Don't you just love trading? You can be anywhere in the world and still be able to make $$$, but only if you trade alongside the institutions with Supply & Demand! If so you can be chillin somewhere down south where it's warm as opposed to some of us in the cold of winter.
Planning a trip to Florida after Christmas with the family and the laptop is coming with me! The BOE meeting minutes contrasted the Inflation Report and therefore created a less Dovish sentiment for the $GBPUSD. As I have mentioned before, what a coincidence that this happened. Price hit weekly demand and all of a sudden the Pound is less Dovish. I showed you articles being written about why the Pound is about to fall and instead we made money on the long side. Supply & Demand is the bottom line! Ignore the rest. 



Market Movers December 7 - 12th:
Click here for the Week Ahead -> Dec 8 - 12, 2014 Market Movers

The Magic Trading Portfolio's Position Sizing:
Currencies --> Risking only $125 per trade. As my risk tolerance gets larger, I will slowly start increasing my risk amount. 

You can follow, learn & PROFIT from The Magic Portfolio by following the members only @MagicAlerts on TwitterI'll be sharing my thoughts on the markets, providing video lessons on trading Supply & Demand and also be sharing with followers some very exclusive stuff. You'll have to follow to find out what. I am mapping out Institutional Demand & Supply. Do your own DD and use the info whatever way you see fit. Welcome to The Magic Trading Portfolio!

How to keep updated with the blog? tweet updates to The Magic Trading Portfolio all day live, my advice is if you have an iphone etc, turn notifications on for my account @magikev to get the updates to the portfolio. If you missed an update, just come to the blog and check on the right side where the twitter feed is located and go through the feed to see what updates you may have missed. Otherwise, subscribe to the email updates and receive them in your inbox.
Magic Ingredient:
If there is any one thing that has added more to my success than anything else, it is understanding how
important it is to time the US Dollar with your trades. The key to my strategy is to time the $USD's GREEN and RED zones with the GREEN and RED zones from the setups. If the US Dollar and the $USDCAD, $USDCHF or $USDJPY are both entering their same coloured zones at around the same time or if the US Dollar and the $EURUSD, $GBPUSD, $AUDUSD or $NZDUSD are both entering the opposite coloured zones then the probability of the setup working out is highest. 
SHADED GREEN ZONES = Strong Buy Zones
SHADED RED ZONES = Strong Sell Zones

SUPPLY & DEMAND ZONES
Take note of the GREEN demand zones and RED supply zones mapped out below. These are the areas of interest for me because this is where there is a great deal of demand to fill buy orders and supply to fill sell orders from the institutions. 


$USD Overview (Weekly Chart)
Perception of Monetary Standing: HAWKISH 
--> $USD entering a lot of supply on the weekly chart & the monthly chart as well!.


$USD Overview (Daily Chart)
--> US Dollar hitting tons of supply.






The Chart Setup:
Chart Setup --> Chart has an RSI indicator of 60 overbought and 40 oversold.
Buying or Selling when price enters a 240 minute area of demand/supply outlined by the green zone/red zone. First target will be opposing 240 min supply zone/demand zone and the opposing daily or weekly supply zone/demand zone.



$USDCAD -> Commitment Of Traders Report: Institutional traders are LONG biased. (12/02/14)
Decreased <== LONG -> 46k   SHORT -> 28K ==> Decreased
Perception of Monetary Standing: DOVISH
Notes: Price is hit some daily demand and is no heading back upwards toward weekly supply.
THE SETUP ==> 
Video Link ==> 

$AUDUSD -> Commitment Of Traders Report: Institutional traders are VERY SHORT biased. (12/02/14)
Increased <== LONG -> 13k   SHORT -> 54K ==> Decreased
Perception of Monetary Standing: DOVISH
Notes: Price is slowly making it's way toward daily demand @ 0.8415
THE SETUP ==> 
Video Link ==>

$USDCHF -> Commitment Of Traders Report: Institutional traders are LONG biased. (12/02/14)
Same <== LONG -> 31k   SHORT -> 8K ==> Same
Perception of Monetary Standing: NUETRAL
Notes: Price is consolidating up at the highs. Waiting for a direction to go.
THE SETUP ==>
Video Link ==> 

$EURUSD -> Commitment Of Traders Report: Institutional traders are VERY SHORT biased. (12/02/14)
Decreased <== LONG -> 57k   SHORT -> 216K ==> Decreased
Perception of Monetary Standing: DOVISH
Notes: Price hit weekly demand at 1.24's and now we could start seeing a move to the upside.
THE SETUP ==> 
Video Link ==>

$GBPUSD -> Commitment Of Traders Report: Institutional traders are SHORT biased. (12/02/14)
Same <== LONG -> 38k   SHORT -> 69K ==> Same
Perception of Monetary Standing: HAWKISH 
Notes: The pound has just breached the Monthly demand zone but hit weekly demand. I believe we will see a bounce from here.
THE SETUP ==> 
Video Link ==> 

$USDJPY -> Commitment Of Traders Report: Institutional traders are VERY LONG biased. (12/02/14)
             Increased <== LONG -> 152k   SHORT -> 41K ==> Decreased
Perception of Monetary Standing: DOVISH
Notes: Hit some weekly supply and I am expecting some downwards movement.
THE SETUP ==> 
Video Link ==>

$NZDUSD -> Commitment Of Traders Report: Institutional traders are SHORT biased. (12/02/14)
Same <== LONG -> 9k   SHORT -> 10K ==> Decreased
Perception of Monetary Standing: HAWKISH
Notes: Price is consolidating around weekly demand. Also just hit some daily demand so we may see more upside.
THE SETUP ==> Long @ 0.7740, SL @ 0.7706, T1 - 0.7775, T2 - 0.7868
Video Link ==> 
Dec 3 => Trade Activated
Dec 4 => T1 hit
Dec 5 => stop hit on 2nd half of position.
$GBPCHF 
THE SETUP ==> Short @ 1.5327, SL @ 1.5417, T1 - 1.5221, T2 - 1.5043
Video Link ==>
Dec 3 => Trade Activated
Dec 4 => T1 hit


$EURGBP 
THE SETUP ==> setup posted on Instagram worked perfectly.
Video Link ==>

$AUDCAD 
THE SETUP ==> Possible DIP N RIP setting up here!
Video Link ==> 
Dec 5 => Trade Activated


$AUDNZD 
THE SETUP ==> Waiting for a retrace into daily/weekly demand to take long.
Video Link ==> 

$AUDJPY 
THE SETUP ==> Waiting for a retrace into daily/weekly demand to take long.
Video Link ==> 

The 30 Minute Chart Strategy:
Chart Setup --> Chart has an 89 period EMA and an 8 period EMA, RSI indicator of 60 overbought and 40 oversold.
Buying or Selling when price enters a 30 minute area of demand/supply outlined by the green zone/red zone. First target will be opposing 30 min supply zone/demand zone.

The 240 Minute Chart Strategy: Buying or Selling when price enters a 240 minute area of demand/supply outlined by the green zone/red zone. First target will be opposing 240 min supply zone/demand zone.

Institutional Supply & Demand Outlook.
Institutional Supply & Demand Outlook.
Institutional Supply & Demand Outlook.
Institutional Supply & Demand Outlook.

Month of November 1rst - 28th (Based on $125 Risk Per Trade)



$EURUSD -> Commitment Of Traders Report: Institutional traders are VERY SHORT biased. (11/25/14)
Decreased <== LONG -> 57k   SHORT -> 223K ==> Decreased
Perception of Monetary Standing: DOVISH
Notes: Price hit weekly demand at 1.24's and now we could start seeing a move to the upside.
THE SETUP ==> Long @ 1.2342, SL @ 1.2282, T1 - 1.2442
Video Link ==>
Dec 3 => Trade Activated
Dec 4 => stopped out, but direction called perfectly. Stop too close. Lesson learned.
Trade Review => 

$CADJPY 
THE SETUP ==> Short @ 104.61, SL @ 105.56, T1 - 103.52, T2 - 102.44
Video Link ==> 
Dec 2 => Trade Activated
Dec 3 => Stopped out
Trade Review => Click 2 Review


Institutional SUPPLY & DEMAND with Sam Seiden (December 5, 2014)

Great video to watch -> Will help you in your trading psychology!

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