Tuesday, August 5, 2014

***Wednesday Aug 6th & Tuesday August 5th Review*** $SPY $QQQ $IWM $DIA + US ISM PMI is positive, $AUD Trade Balance is positive ***PORTFOLIO --> ***WATCH -->

General Notes:
I'll be staying out of the equities markets for the most part until the markets calm down a bit more. August is supposed to be the worst month for trading so I'll be sitting on the sidelines until a good opportunity to get back in. Until then I still believe the markets will pull back some more.

Tuesday August 5th Review:
Some $AUD trade balance numbers out last night (see $AUDUSD) Also the $US ISM PMI numbers came out positive giving a rally to the $USD. (see $USD)

Wednesday August 6th:
$USD & $USDCAD Trade balance numbers out today. Also $GBP, $AUD & Oil data out as well.



The Magic Trading Portfolio's Position Sizing:
Futures --> 1 contract (at most)
Options --> $1000 estimated (per position)
Currencies --> $100,000 (depending on size of the zone)


You can follow, learn & PROFIT from The Magic Portfolio by following the members only @MagicAlerts on TwitterI'll be sharing my thoughts on the markets, providing video lessons on trading Supply & Demand and also be sharing with followers some very exclusive stuff. You'll have to follow to find out what. I am mapping out Institutional Demand & Supply. Do your own DD and use the info whatever way you see fit. Welcome to The Magic Trading Portfolio!

NASDAQ hits supply, are the bears back?
***NEW SETUPS ADDED TO PORTFOLIO BELOW***

WELCOME NEW SUBSCRIBERS! Learn from this blog and you will learn to think and trade like the big institutions, but thats just my opinion. See for yourself!

Comment from blog follower/ friend
 How to keep updated with the blog? tweet updates to The Magic Trading Portfolio all day live, my advice is if you have an iphone etc, turn notifications on for my account @magikev to get the updates to the portfolio. If you missed an update, just come to the blog and check on the right side where the twitter feed is located and go through the feed to see what updates you may have missed. Otherwise, subscribe to the email updates and receive them in your inbox.


Magic Ingredient:
If there is any one thing that has added more to my success than anything else, it is understanding how important it is to time the market with your trades. The key to my strategy is to time the markets GREEN and RED zones with the GREEN and RED zones from the setups. If they are both entering their same colored zones at around the same time then the probability of the setup working out is highest. Otherwise, market needs to be trending upwards to take entry of setups in the GREEN zones or market needs to be trending downwards to take entry of setups in the RED zones.
SHADED GREEN ZONES = Strong Buy Zones
SHADED RED ZONES = Strong Sell Zones

Markets Overview (The Big Picture):
Take note of the GREEN demand zones and RED supply zones mapped out below. These are the areas of interest for me because this is where there is a great deal of demand to fill buy orders and supply to fill sell orders from the institutions. 

NASDAQ -> hit  daily supply and = BEARISH
S&P -> hit daily demand but RSI is weak = BEARISH
DOW JONES ->  hit daily demand but RSI is weak = BEARISH
RUSSEL -> hit daily demand but RSI is weak = BEARISH


Markets Overview (30 Min Chart)--> Supply & Demand outlined below.

$USD Overview (Daily Chart)--> Supply @ 81.50 - 81.99 & Demand @ 80.55 - 80.41 outlined below.
--> Good ISM PMI numbers gives us a rally in the $USD

Currencies:

The Million Dollar Strategy:

Chart Setup --> Chart has an 89 period EMA and an 8 period EMA, RSI indicator of 60 overbought and 40 oversold.
Buying or Selling when price enters a 240 minute area of demand/supply outlined by the green zone/red zone. First target will be opposing 240 min supply zone/demand zone and or once price crosses the 89 EMA then a close below/above the 8 EMA will be the
sign to take profit or close the trade.

$USDCAD --> The Canadian Dollar just hit weekly demand and should be heading upwards. The ideal trade is to wait for retraces into demand and then take long.
THE SETUP: Will wait for a retrace into 30/240 demand @ 1.07680 and then go long to catch the trend upwards.


$AUDUSD --> The Australian Dollar hit some daily demand and is heading up.  

THE SETUP: Watching for a rally into the 240 supply zone to short the pair down.

Aug 4th -> Trade Balance figures came out positive and should have rallied price but $USD strength made price drop.


$USDCHF --> The Swiss Franc is just hit daily supply and is dropping.

THE SETUP: Will wait for a rally up into a supply zone and then short it.


$EURUSD --> The Euro is in weekly demand and may head up. 


THE SETUP: Will wait for a rally up into a supply zone and then short it.

$GBPUSD --> The Pound has just hit weekly demand and could head up.

THE SETUP: 
Aug 5 -> Good services PMI numbers came out.


$NZDUSD --> The New Zealand Dollar just hit weekly demand and could head up.

THE SETUP: 



Futures:
The 30 Minute Chart Strategy:
Chart Setup --> Chart has an 89 period EMA and an 8 period EMA, RSI indicator of 60 overbought and 40 oversold.

Buying or Selling when price enters a 30 minute area of demand/supply outlined by the green zone/red zone. First target will be opposing 30 min supply zone/demand zone.

The 240 Minute Chart Strategy: Buying or Selling when price enters a 240 minute area of demand/supply outlined by the green zone/red zone. First target will be opposing 240 min supply zone/demand zone.

$GC_F Gold --> 30 min demand zone worked perfectly. Supply & Demand outlined on the chart.
Gold updated July 30

$CL_F Oil --> Supply & Demand outlined on the chart.

Crude Oil updated July 30
July 30 -> Crude Oil Inventory numbers came out and price dropped.

$HG_F Copper --> Supply & Demand outlined on the chart.
Copper updated July 30

$NG_F Natural Gas --> Supply & Demand outlined on the chart.
Natural Gas updated July 30

Stocks & Options:
The Trinity Trading Strategy:
The Trinity Trading Strategy is the strategy all the others are based on.
Chart Setup --> 30 Minute chart has an 89 period EMA, a 45 period EMA and an 8 period EMA, RSI indicator of 60 overbought and 40 oversold.
The Trinity Trading Strategy

Buying or Selling when price enters a 30 minute area of demand/supply outlined by the green zone/red zone. First target will be opposing 30 min supply zone/demand zone and or once the 8 EMA crosses the 89 EMA and after the 45 EMA crosses the 89 EMA, then a close below/above the 8 EMA will be the sign to take profit or close the trade. If price action is strong, then I will add to position when price touches the 45 EMA. Finally, the position will be closed when the 8 EMA crosses the 45 EMA.


The 89 Bounce Strategy:
Chart Setup --> 30 Minute chart has an 89 period EMA, a 45 period EMA and an 8 period EMA, RSI indicator of 60 overbought and 40 oversold.
The 89 Bounce Strategy
Buying or Selling when price hits the 89 EMA and/or enters a 30 minute demand/supply outlined by the green zone/red zone. Then you must wait until the distance between the 8 EMA and 45 EMA is the same or larger than the 45 EMA and 89 EMA. Wait for close below the 8 EMA to take partial profits. The close trade when the 8 EMA crossed over the 45 EMA.


The Slingshot Strategy:
Chart Setup --> 30 Minute chart has an 89 period EMA, a 45 period EMA and an 8 period EMA, RSI indicator of 60 overbought and 40 oversold.

Buying or Selling when price hits a 30 minute supply/demand outlined by the red zone/green zone. Then you must wait until the distance between the 8 EMA and 45 EMA is the same or larger than the 45 EMA and 89 EMA. Wait for close below the 8 EMA to take partial profits. The close trade when the 8 EMA crossed over the 45 EMA.

In all strategies, exit for a loss if price breaks through the zone position is opened on.

How do I activate a trade?
Slingshot Strategy Entry
5 Min RSI confirmation
A trade is activated like so, if the Demand or Supply zone is a larger zone such as a daily zone then the following Slingshot Strategy setup example is how I activate a trade. Price drops into a daily supply zone, now a daily demand zone, if RSI on daily is below 40 then I wait for 30 min chart RSI to be around 40 or above on a dip and get into position on that dip, if daily RSI is 40 or above, then I wait for 5 min RSI confirmation. Take a look at the chart for more details.









                                                              
Friday's Morning Market Briefing with Sam Seiden

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